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Post by hsfbfan on Oct 25, 2017 11:07:50 GMT -6
This is the latest prediction from the guru 1 nd 2 Newman 3 Dunham 4 catholic 5 Calvary 6 riverside 7 ascension Episcopal 8 country day 9 Episcopal 10 Menard 11 St. Thomas Aquinas 12 Northlake 13 Pope John Paul 14 the church academy Guru's Bracket: Attachment Deleted
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Post by hsfbfan on Oct 25, 2017 11:11:36 GMT -6
This is the latest prediction from the guru 1 nd 2 Newman 3 Dunham 4 catholic 5 Calvary 6 riverside 7 ascension Episcopal 8 country day 9 Episcopal 10 Menard 11 St. Thomas Aquinas 12 Northlake 13 Pope John Paul 14 the church academy I think the guru will end up wrong on these projections, everything looks good except switch 5-6. Know it all Bracket: Attachment Deleted
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 25, 2017 12:43:16 GMT -6
This is the latest prediction from the guru 1 nd 2 Newman 3 Dunham 4 catholic 5 Calvary 6 riverside 7 ascension Episcopal 8 country day 9 Episcopal 10 Menard 11 St. Thomas Aquinas 12 Northlake 13 Pope John Paul 14 the church academy I think the guru will end up wrong on these projections, everything looks good except switch 5-6. I was trying to win a bet. Dang it u just ruined it lol
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Post by hsfbfan on Oct 25, 2017 20:11:05 GMT -6
I pull this directly from Power Rating on this site... spreadsheet capture creates the bracket. Ok. My guy calculates by predicting (and using calPreps) future games. This is what he actually sees as the final bracket this is interesting.. and what 2A bracket would be if no split: Attachment Deleted
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 25, 2017 20:19:30 GMT -6
Ok. My guy calculates by predicting (and using calPreps) future games. This is what he actually sees as the final bracket this is interesting.. and what 2A bracket would be if no split: View AttachmentMy only wish in life is that Calvary could play Many
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Post by indy on Oct 26, 2017 4:24:15 GMT -6
this is interesting.. and what 2A bracket would be if no split: View AttachmentMy only wish in life is that Calvary could play Many Maybe put it on your Christmas list but you do realize Many has a gutless principal and coward for a coach? You could move Calvary to Sabine parish and I bet you money y'all wouldn't be in the same district.,
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Post by indy on Oct 27, 2017 9:29:52 GMT -6
This is the latest prediction from the guru 1 nd 2 Newman 3 Dunham 4 catholic 5 Calvary 6 riverside 7 ascension Episcopal 8 country day 9 Episcopal 10 Menard 11 St. Thomas Aquinas 12 Northlake 13 Pope John Paul 14 the church academy I think the guru will end up wrong on these projections, everything looks good except switch 5-6. 5 and 6 could flip. It will come down to opponents wins. RA only has 7 games vs Calvary's 10. So Calvary naturally has more chances for wins.
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 27, 2017 9:32:02 GMT -6
I think the guru will end up wrong on these projections, everything looks good except switch 5-6. 5 and 6 could flip. It will come down to opponents wins. RA only has 7 games vs Calvary's 10. So Calvary naturally has more chances for wins. And more chances for losses. Unlike baseball, opponents losses hurt.
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Post by indy on Oct 27, 2017 9:49:50 GMT -6
5 and 6 could flip. It will come down to opponents wins. RA only has 7 games vs Calvary's 10. So Calvary naturally has more chances for wins. And more chances for losses. Unlike baseball, opponents losses hurt. No points are subtracted for losing. You only ad wins. So if RA's opponents go 5-2 and Calvary's go 5-5, RA gains nothing.
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 27, 2017 9:54:20 GMT -6
And more chances for losses. Unlike baseball, opponents losses hurt. No points are subtracted for losing. You only ad wins. So if RA's opponents go 5-2 and Calvary's go 5-5, RA gains nothing. No. to use your example exactly, if an opponent is 5-2, that is 7.14 added to total power points. 5-5 is 5 added to total power points. It is winning percentage.
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 27, 2017 9:55:12 GMT -6
And more chances for losses. Unlike baseball, opponents losses hurt. No points are subtracted for losing. You only ad wins. So if RA's opponents go 5-2 and Calvary's go 5-5, RA gains nothing. If an opponent loses, your total power point number absolutely goes down because winning percentage of that team goes down.
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Post by indy on Oct 27, 2017 10:01:18 GMT -6
No points are subtracted for losing. You only ad wins. So if RA's opponents go 5-2 and Calvary's go 5-5, RA gains nothing. If an opponent loses, your total power point number absolutely goes down because winning percentage of that team goes down. Wins, play up points, and opponents wins are added . Then divided by number of games played. Trust me
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 27, 2017 10:26:28 GMT -6
If an opponent loses, your total power point number absolutely goes down because winning percentage of that team goes down. Wins, play up points, and opponents wins are added . Then divided by number of games played. Trust me That is correct, but it is winning percentage. Not just wins, so a loss brings winning percentage down of that team that you beat or lost to.
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Post by indy on Oct 27, 2017 10:33:27 GMT -6
Wins, play up points, and opponents wins are added . Then divided by number of games played. Trust me That is correct, but it is winning percentage. Not just wins, so a loss brings winning percentage down of that team that you beat or lost to. More losses only means you have less wins to divide by. You can figure all the percentages you want but it doesn't effect PowerPoints.
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Post by indy on Oct 27, 2017 10:35:23 GMT -6
Wins, play up points, and opponents wins are added . Then divided by number of games played. Trust me That is correct, but it is winning percentage. Not just wins, so a loss brings winning percentage down of that team that you beat or lost to. I know 1981 is your idle but come on! Trust me
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 27, 2017 10:35:43 GMT -6
If an opponent loses, your total power point number absolutely goes down because winning percentage of that team goes down. Wins, play up points, and opponents wins are added . Then divided by number of games played. Trust me If Calvary plays Many only and beats them 100-0, they get 10 points for that. If Many goes 1-9 because they beat Red River, then Calvary gets 10 points for the win plus 1 point because 1/10 = .1 then .1 x 10 = 1. So Calvary's power points on the year are 11. If many were to go 5-5, Calvary's power points are 15 for the year.
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 27, 2017 10:37:13 GMT -6
That is correct, but it is winning percentage. Not just wins, so a loss brings winning percentage down of that team that you beat or lost to. I know 1981 is your idle but come on! Trust me Power points definitely depend on whether a team wins OR LOSES lol trust me. Byrd losing last night hurt our power points. I'm just telling ya
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 27, 2017 10:41:59 GMT -6
That is correct, but it is winning percentage. Not just wins, so a loss brings winning percentage down of that team that you beat or lost to. More losses only means you have less wins to divide by. You can figure all the percentages you want but it doesn't effect PowerPoints. Maybe we're talking about two different things. If Notre Dame doesn't play this week, you are correct in saying it's the same number of games to divide by when calculating power points, But if the only team on Notre Dames schedule to play this week was Kinder, and they lost, your power points would GO DOWN.
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Post by knowitall on Oct 27, 2017 10:42:01 GMT -6
I think the guru will end up wrong on these projections, everything looks good except switch 5-6. 5 and 6 could flip. It will come down to opponents wins. RA only has 7 games vs Calvary's 10. So Calvary naturally has more chances for wins. There is no "could flip" now Indy my friend, with Byrd losing to Airline thursday night hurting Calvary for another opponent win basically seals it in my mind, every other spot we on the same page, but 5-6 will end up switching when its all said and done. RA to 5, Calvary to 6.
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 27, 2017 10:53:29 GMT -6
5 and 6 could flip. It will come down to opponents wins. RA only has 7 games vs Calvary's 10. So Calvary naturally has more chances for wins. There is no "could flip" now Indy my friend, with Byrd losing to Airline thursday night hurting Calvary for another opponent win basically seals it in my mind, every other spot we on the same page, but 5-6 will end up switching when its all said and done. RA to 5, Calvary to 6. I'm just glad Indy posted what his guru said because it got me to figuring. Had no idea Calvary could jump that high till I started looking at the numbers.
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Post by indy on Oct 27, 2017 11:27:07 GMT -6
5 and 6 could flip. It will come down to opponents wins. RA only has 7 games vs Calvary's 10. So Calvary naturally has more chances for wins. There is no "could flip" now Indy my friend, with Byrd losing to Airline thursday night hurting Calvary for another opponent win basically seals it in my mind, every other spot we on the same page, but 5-6 will end up switching when its all said and done. RA to 5, Calvary to 6. I've never even tried to crunch these numbers but our guy at ND is usually accurate. But if you thinking Byrd losing with roughly 250 games left to be played seals the deal then you just might be Rain Man but you could be Jethro Bodine
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Post by knowitall on Oct 27, 2017 11:37:56 GMT -6
There is no "could flip" now Indy my friend, with Byrd losing to Airline thursday night hurting Calvary for another opponent win basically seals it in my mind, every other spot we on the same page, but 5-6 will end up switching when its all said and done. RA to 5, Calvary to 6. I've never even tried to crunch these numbers but our guy at ND is usually accurate. But if you thinking Byrd losing with roughly 250 games left to be played seals the deal then you just might be Rain Man but you could be Jethro Bodine No, what I am saying is I have crunched the numbers, and that is a game that Calvary needed to stay ahead of RA if they had any chance to be 5 even though yes there is a lot of games left. Calvary still has to beat Mansfield and of course if that doesn't happen all of this is for nothing, we are all on the same page as far as the other slots where teams will be, but 5-6 is the closest of anyone in the division.
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Post by hsfbfan on Oct 28, 2017 19:17:10 GMT -6
This is the latest prediction from the guru 1 nd 2 Newman 3 Dunham 4 catholic 5 Calvary 6 riverside 7 ascension Episcopal 8 country day 9 Episcopal 10 Menard 11 St. Thomas Aquinas 12 Northlake 13 Pope John Paul 14 the church academy Div III Bracket as it stands right now. Not sure all calculations have been made. What does Guru have? Attachment Deleted
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 31, 2017 9:30:13 GMT -6
There is no "could flip" now Indy my friend, with Byrd losing to Airline thursday night hurting Calvary for another opponent win basically seals it in my mind, every other spot we on the same page, but 5-6 will end up switching when its all said and done. RA to 5, Calvary to 6. I've never even tried to crunch these numbers but our guy at ND is usually accurate. But if you thinking Byrd losing with roughly 250 games left to be played seals the deal then you just might be Rain Man but you could be Jethro Bodine If Episcopal beats Dunham and calpreps is accurate on their predictions: 1 ND 2 Newman 3 Catholic NI 4 Episcopal 5 Riverside 6 Dunham 7 Calvary Baptist 8 Ascension Episcopal One wrong prediction of win/loss here and there could flip 7 and 8.
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Post by indy on Oct 31, 2017 10:20:34 GMT -6
I've never even tried to crunch these numbers but our guy at ND is usually accurate. But if you thinking Byrd losing with roughly 250 games left to be played seals the deal then you just might be Rain Man but you could be Jethro Bodine If Episcopal beats Dunham and calpreps is accurate on their predictions: 1 ND 2 Newman 3 Catholic NI 4 Episcopal 5 Riverside 6 Dunham 7 Calvary Baptist 8 Ascension Episcopal One wrong prediction of win/loss here and there could flip 7 and 8. If Dunham loses they are 4th. RA would be 6th
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Post by 86namnit on Oct 31, 2017 10:28:30 GMT -6
The math is melting my eyeballs.
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Post by indy on Oct 31, 2017 10:36:52 GMT -6
The math is melting my eyeballs. Lol, maybe we need a bracket for the guru's? I got Rain and John Nash in the finals!
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Post by hsfbfan on Oct 31, 2017 11:03:31 GMT -6
I've never even tried to crunch these numbers but our guy at ND is usually accurate. But if you thinking Byrd losing with roughly 250 games left to be played seals the deal then you just might be Rain Man but you could be Jethro Bodine If Episcopal beats Dunham and calpreps is accurate on their predictions: 1 ND 2 Newman 3 Catholic NI 4 Episcopal 5 Riverside 6 Dunham 7 Calvary Baptist 8 Ascension Episcopal One wrong prediction of win/loss here and there could flip 7 and 8. What happens if Dunham beats Episcopal?
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Post by indy on Oct 31, 2017 11:55:14 GMT -6
If Episcopal beats Dunham and calpreps is accurate on their predictions: 1 ND 2 Newman 3 Catholic NI 4 Episcopal 5 Riverside 6 Dunham 7 Calvary Baptist 8 Ascension Episcopal One wrong prediction of win/loss here and there could flip 7 and 8. What happens if Dunham beats Episcopal? Dunham 3. Catholic 4 RA 5
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Post by fuzzy on Oct 31, 2017 12:11:50 GMT -6
If Episcopal beats Dunham and calpreps is accurate on their predictions: 1 ND 2 Newman 3 Catholic NI 4 Episcopal 5 Riverside 6 Dunham 7 Calvary Baptist 8 Ascension Episcopal One wrong prediction of win/loss here and there could flip 7 and 8. What happens if Dunham beats Episcopal? 1 Notre Dame 9 0 8.111 16.926 2 Newman 10 0 7.200 16.395 3 Dunham 8 1 6.333 13.975 4 Catholic (NI) 9 1 6.500 13.911 5 Riverside 3 4 9.714 13.381 6 Calvary Baptist 6 4 7.900 12.922 7 Ascension Episcopal 8 2 6.500 12.911 8 Episcopal 8 2 6.300 12.767 9 Country Day 6 4 7.700 12.606 10 Menard 6 4 6.100 10.856 11 St. Thomas Aquinas 5 5 7.400 10.411 12 Northlake Christian 3 7 7.000 8.356 13 Pope John Paul II 2 8 7.100 7.300 14 Church Academy 1 8 7.333 6.914
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